Determining the dynamics of influenza transmission by age
Identifieur interne : 000E73 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000E72; suivant : 000E74Determining the dynamics of influenza transmission by age
Auteurs : Laura F. White [États-Unis] ; Brett Archer [Afrique du Sud] ; Marcello Pagano [États-Unis]Source :
- Emerging Themes in Epidemiology [ 1742-7622 ] ; 2014.
Abstract
It is widely accepted that influenza transmission dynamics vary by age; however methods to quantify the reproductive number by age group are limited. We introduce a simple method to estimate the reproductive number by modifying the method originally proposed by Wallinga and Teunis and using existing information on contact patterns between age groups. We additionally perform a sensitivity analysis to determine the potential impact of differential healthcare seeking patterns by age. We illustrate this method using data from the 2009 H1N1 Influenza pandemic in Gauteng Province, South Africa.
Our results are consistent with others in showing decreased transmission with age. We show that results can change markedly when we make the account for differential healthcare seeking behaviors by age.
We show substantial heterogeneity in transmission by age group during the Influenza A H1N1 pandemic in South Africa. This information can greatly assist in targeting interventions and implementing social distancing measures.
Url:
DOI: 10.1186/1742-7622-11-4
PubMed: 24656239
PubMed Central: 3997935
Affiliations:
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White</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="I1">Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachusetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachusetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Massachusetts</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Archer, Brett" sort="Archer, Brett" uniqKey="Archer B" first="Brett" last="Archer">Brett Archer</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I2">National Institute of Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Afrique du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>National Institute of Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Johannesburg</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Pagano, Marcello" sort="Pagano, Marcello" uniqKey="Pagano M" first="Marcello" last="Pagano">Marcello Pagano</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="I3">Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Massachusetts</region></placeName></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">24656239</idno><idno type="pmc">3997935</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3997935</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:3997935</idno><idno type="doi">10.1186/1742-7622-11-4</idno><date when="2014">2014</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000632</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000632</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000632</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000632</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Checkpoint">000483</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Checkpoint">000483</idno><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><idno type="RBID">pubmed:24656239</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000861</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000861</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000861</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000861</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">000826</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">000826</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">001819</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">001819</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">001819</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">000E79</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000E73</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000E73</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Determining the dynamics of influenza transmission by age</title><author><name sortKey="White, Laura F" sort="White, Laura F" uniqKey="White L" first="Laura F" last="White">Laura F. White</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="I1">Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachusetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachusetts Ave, Boston, MA 02118</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Massachusetts</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Archer, Brett" sort="Archer, Brett" uniqKey="Archer B" first="Brett" last="Archer">Brett Archer</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="I2">National Institute of Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Afrique du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>National Institute of Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Johannesburg</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Pagano, Marcello" sort="Pagano, Marcello" uniqKey="Pagano M" first="Marcello" last="Pagano">Marcello Pagano</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="I3">Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Massachusetts</region></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Emerging Themes in Epidemiology</title><idno type="eISSN">1742-7622</idno><imprint><date when="2014">2014</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Background</title><p>It is widely accepted that influenza transmission dynamics vary by age; however methods to quantify the reproductive number by age group are limited. We introduce a simple method to estimate the reproductive number by modifying the method originally proposed by Wallinga and Teunis and using existing information on contact patterns between age groups. We additionally perform a sensitivity analysis to determine the potential impact of differential healthcare seeking patterns by age. We illustrate this method using data from the 2009 H1N1 Influenza pandemic in Gauteng Province, South Africa.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p>Our results are consistent with others in showing decreased transmission with age. We show that results can change markedly when we make the account for differential healthcare seeking behaviors by age.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title><p>We show substantial heterogeneity in transmission by age group during the Influenza A H1N1 pandemic in South Africa. 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White</name></region><name sortKey="Pagano, Marcello" sort="Pagano, Marcello" uniqKey="Pagano M" first="Marcello" last="Pagano">Marcello Pagano</name></country><country name="Afrique du Sud"><noRegion><name sortKey="Archer, Brett" sort="Archer, Brett" uniqKey="Archer B" first="Brett" last="Archer">Brett Archer</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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|texte= Determining the dynamics of influenza transmission by age
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